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Keeping Track of the Financial Crisis Recent Speeches and Presentations Recent Media Interviews Events Recent Research Papers
  • "Monetary Policy, Determinacy, and Learnability in a Two-Block World Economy," with Eric Schaling, forthcoming, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. Working Paper Version (PDF 472K).
  • "When Does Determinacy Imply Expectational Stability?," February 2008, Revised January 2009, with Stefano Eusepi, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2008-007B, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 266K).
  • "The Stability of Macroeconomic Systems with Bayesian Learners" November 2008, with Jacek Suda, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2008-043A, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 277K).
  • "Worldwide Macroeconomic Stability and Monetary Policy Rules," with Aarti Singh, Journal of Monetary Economics, October 2008, 55(Supplement 1), pp. S34-S47. Contributions to Macroeconomics in Honor of John Taylor - Supplement issue sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, containing selected papers from an October 12-13, 2007 conference honoring John Taylor. Working Paper Version (PDF 520K).
  • "Monetary Policy, Judgment and Near-Rational Exuberance," with George W. Evans and Seppo Honkapohja, American Economic Review, June 2008, 98(3), pp. 1163-77. Working Paper Version (PDF 468K).
  • "A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance," March 2007, Revised January 2008, with George W. Evans and Seppo Honkapohja, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2007-009B, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 439K).
  • "A Leisurely Reading of the Life Cycle Consumption Data," with James Feigenbaum, Journal of Monetary Economics, November 2007, 54(8), pp. 2305-20. Working Paper Version (PDF 510K).
  • "The Optimal Inflation Target in an Economy with Limited Enforcement," September 2007, Revised November 2007, with Gaetano Antinolfi and Costas Azariadis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2007-037B, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 338K).
  • "Determinacy, Learnability, and Monetary Policy Inertia," with Kaushik Mitra, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, August 2007, 39(5), pp. 1177-212. Download Mathematica programs: Lagmsv.pdf, Forwardmsv.pdf, Lagestability.pdf, and Forwardestability.pdf. Working Paper Version (PDF 486K).
  • "Learning and the Great Moderation," June 2007, Revised March 2009, with Aarti Singh, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2007-027B, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 299K).
  • "Social Learning and Monetary Policy Rules," March 2007, with Jasmina Arifovic and Olena Kostyshyna, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2007-007A, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 333K).
  • "Learning and Structural Change in Macroeconomic Data," August 2004, with J. Duffy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2004-016A, Abstract | Full Text (PDF 396K).
  • More Papers
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